Tennis · ATP Montreal · 07/08, 17:00
Prediction: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang
Team pages: Luciano Darderi · Juncheng Shang
Prediction summary
Winner
Luciano Darderi
Juncheng Shang
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luciano Darderi
6-4 (W-L)
Juncheng Shang
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luciano Darderi 1538 · Juncheng Shang 1498
| Luciano Darderi | Juncheng Shang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luciano Darderi (rating 1538 vs 1498).
Statistics
| Luciano Darderi | Juncheng Shang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.8 | 12-12.7 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 32.4% | 27.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luciano Darderi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 24/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Nuno Borges ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Ethan Quinn Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Nuno Borges ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Juncheng Shang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Andrey Rublev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 02/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Kei Nishikori ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/02 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Dubai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/02 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Doha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/01 | Botic Van De Zandschulp Australian Open · Hard |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 19/01 | Roberto Bautista-Agut Australian Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-15 | W |
| 09/01 | Alexander Bublik ATP Hong Kong · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/01 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/01 | Francisco Comesana ATP Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang?
Our model gives 54% to Luciano Darderi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.