Tennis · WTA Toronto · 06/08, 17:00
Prediction: Nikola Bartunkova vs Amanda Anisimova
Team pages: Nikola Bartunkova · Amanda Anisimova
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikola Bartunkova
Amanda Anisimova
Estimated games
24.1Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nikola Bartunkova
7-3 (W-L)
Amanda Anisimova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikola Bartunkova 1547 · Amanda Anisimova 1531
| Nikola Bartunkova | Amanda Anisimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Nikola Bartunkova dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 45.3% break avg.
- Note: Nikola Bartunkova makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Amanda Anisimova makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Nikola Bartunkova | Amanda Anisimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-11 | 12.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +4.6
Over 19.5: 79% · 1.80
Under 19.5: 21% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikola Bartunkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Yue Yuan WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Barbora Krejcikova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Peyton Stearns Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Diana Shnaider WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Amanda Anisimova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Sofia Kenin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Lina Gjorcheska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Iva Jovic WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Laura Siegemund WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/05 | Diane Parry French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/05 | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/03 | Belinda Bencic WTA Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/03 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/03 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Miami · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikola Bartunkova vs Amanda Anisimova?
Our model gives 60% to Amanda Anisimova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.