Tennis · WTA Toronto · 06/08, 17:00
Prediction: Anna Kalinskaya vs Diana Shnaider
Team pages: Anna Kalinskaya · Diana Shnaider
Prediction summary
Winner
Anna Kalinskaya
Diana Shnaider
Estimated games
24.5Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Anna Kalinskaya
5-5 (W-L)
Diana Shnaider
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Anna Kalinskaya
1–0
Diana Shnaider
(1 last)
- 22 Oct2-1 16-18W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna Kalinskaya 1544 · Diana Shnaider 1494
| Anna Kalinskaya | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anna Kalinskaya (rating 1544 vs 1494).
- Head-to-head: Anna Kalinskaya 1–0 Diana Shnaider (1).
- Note: Anna Kalinskaya makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Anna Kalinskaya | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 60% (5) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12 | 12-10.8 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3
Over 21.5: 70% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 30% · 1.83
H2H · Anna Kalinskaya 1 – 0 Diana Shnaider (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anna Kalinskaya 1–0 Diana Shnaider
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/25 WTA Tokyo | 2-1 | 16-18 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna Kalinskaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | McCartney Kessler WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Janice Tjen WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Diane Parry Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Magdalena Frech Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Sinja Kraus WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Diana Shnaider
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Eva Lys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Aryna Sabalenka French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna Kalinskaya vs Diana Shnaider?
Our model gives 52% to Anna Kalinskaya, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.