Tennis · ATP Montreal · 06/08, 00:00
Prediction: Daniil Medvedev vs Botic Van De Zandschulp
Team pages: Daniil Medvedev · Botic Van De Zandschulp
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniil Medvedev
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Estimated games
27.8
Recent form · 10 last
Daniil Medvedev
5-5 (W-L)
Botic Van De Zandschulp
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daniil Medvedev
4–0
Botic Van De Zandschulp
(4 last)
- 16 Feb2-0 12-4W
- 17 Aug2-0 13-9W
- 22 Jan3-0 18-10W
- 07 Sept3-1 23-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniil Medvedev 1533 · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1483
| Daniil Medvedev | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 74% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniil Medvedev (rating 1533 vs 1483).
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 52.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Daniil Medvedev 4–0 Botic Van De Zandschulp (4).
- Note: Daniil Medvedev makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Daniil Medvedev | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.3 | 1.4-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.4-13.4 | 14.8-15.5 |
| Aces | 9.1 | 8.4 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.8
H2H · Daniil Medvedev 4 – 0 Botic Van De Zandschulp (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniil Medvedev 4–0 Botic Van De Zandschulp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/23 ATP Rotterdam | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08/22 ATP Cincinnati | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/01/22 Australian Open | 3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 07/09/21 US Open | 3-1 | 23-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniil Medvedev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Jan-Lennard Struff Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 17-21 | L |
| 01/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Marin Cilic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Terence Atmane ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Marin Cilic ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Thijs Boogaard ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 26/05 | Adam Walton French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 19-20 | L |
Botic Van De Zandschulp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-26 | L |
| 29/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Harry Wendelken ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Francisco Cerundolo French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniil Medvedev vs Botic Van De Zandschulp?
Our model gives 67% to Daniil Medvedev, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.