Tennis · ATP Montreal · 05/08, 21:30
Prediction: Karen Khachanov vs Terence Atmane
Team pages: Karen Khachanov · Terence Atmane
Prediction summary
Winner
Karen Khachanov
Terence Atmane
Estimated games
29.3
Recent form · 10 last
Karen Khachanov
7-3 (W-L)
Terence Atmane
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karen Khachanov 1503 · Terence Atmane 1450
| Karen Khachanov | Terence Atmane | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karen Khachanov (rating 1503 vs 1450).
Statistics
| Karen Khachanov | Terence Atmane | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (6) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-1.5 | 1-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 17.8-16.3 | 13.5-16 |
| Aces | 9.9 | 8.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 76.7% |
| Break % | 32.3% | 22.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
29.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karen Khachanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Bernard Tomic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 23-25 | L |
| 02/07 | Yannick Hanfmann Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 05/06 | Alexander Bublik Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/05 | Jesper De Jong French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 23-30 | L |
| 27/05 | Marco Trungelliti French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 25-20 | W |
| 24/05 | Arthur Gea French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
Terence Atmane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Jack Draper ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Frances Tiafoe Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-23 | L |
| 22/06 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 17/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/06 | Nuno Borges ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Thanasi Kokkinakis French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 23-29 | L |
| 18/05 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karen Khachanov vs Terence Atmane?
Our model gives 57% to Karen Khachanov, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.