Tennis · WTA Toronto · 06/08, 17:00
Prediction: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova
Team pages: Elina Svitolina · Anastasia Potapova
Prediction summary
Winner
Elina Svitolina
Anastasia Potapova
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elina Svitolina
3-7 (W-L)
Anastasia Potapova
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elina Svitolina
1–0
Anastasia Potapova
(1 last)
- 02 Mar2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elina Svitolina 1546 · Anastasia Potapova 1525
| Elina Svitolina | Anastasia Potapova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Elina Svitolina 1–0 Anastasia Potapova (1).
- Note: Elina Svitolina makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Anastasia Potapova makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Elina Svitolina | Anastasia Potapova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.9 | 12-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.5
Over 21.5: 60% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 40% · 1.90
H2H · Elina Svitolina 1 – 0 Anastasia Potapova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elina Svitolina 1–0 Anastasia Potapova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/22 WTA Monterrey | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elina Svitolina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 01/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Daria Snigur Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Eva Lys WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Marta Kostyuk French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 31/05 | Belinda Bencic French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/05 | Tamara Korpatsch French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Anastasia Potapova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Diana Shnaider WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Venus Williams WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Suzan Lamens WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 01/06 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Coco Gauff French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/05 | Katie Boulter French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Maya Joint French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/05 | Jessica Pegula WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova?
Our model gives 60% to Elina Svitolina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.