Tennis · ATP Montreal · 06/08, 17:00
Prediction: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Team pages: Casper Ruud · Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Prediction summary
Winner
Casper Ruud
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Estimated games
26.7
Recent form · 10 last
Casper Ruud
5-5 (W-L)
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Casper Ruud
0–2
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
(2 last)
- 17 Jul1-2 13-16L
- 18 Jul1-2 11-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Casper Ruud 1544 · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1509
| Casper Ruud | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Casper Ruud dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 45.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Casper Ruud 0–2 Juan Manuel Cerundolo (2).
Statistics
| Casper Ruud | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.5 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.7-16.1 | 13.1-12.8 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 75% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.7
H2H · Casper Ruud 0 – 2 Juan Manuel Cerundolo (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Casper Ruud 0–2 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/26 ATP Gstaad | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/07/25 ATP Gstaad | 1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Casper Ruud
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Hubert Hurkacz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 31/05 | Joao Fonseca French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 20-25 | L |
| 29/05 | Tommy Paul French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 30-28 | W |
| 27/05 | Hamad Medjedovic French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 25/05 | Roman Safiullin French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
| 22/05 | Mariano Navone ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Raphael Collignon ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Casper Ruud ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Zdenek Kolar ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 25/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Arthur Fery ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
Our model gives 63% to Casper Ruud, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.