Tennis · ATP Montreal · 06/08, 17:00

Prediction: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Fils

Team pages: Zachary Svajda · Arthur Fils

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Zachary Svajda Arthur Fils
Estimated games
25.7
Recent form · 10 last
Zachary Svajda 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLWLLWL
Arthur Fils 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zachary Svajda 1509 · Arthur Fils 1549
Zachary SvajdaArthur Fils
Our model44%56%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arthur Fils (rating 1509 vs 1549).

Statistics

Zachary SvajdaArthur Fils
Win %50%70%
Win % · Grass 50% (8) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.31.6-0.9
Games (G-P)12.4-12.113.7-11.6
Aces5.44.3
Double faults2.92.4
1st serve %76.8%76.6%
Break %38.2%33.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 25.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zachary Svajda

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/07 Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Washington · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
25/07 Stefan Kozlov
ATP Washington · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
04/07 Alex De Minaur
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 15-23 L
02/07 Kamil Majchrzak
Wimbledon · Grass
3-2 26-22 W
30/06 Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 18-7 W
21/06 Damir Dzumhur
ATP Mallorca · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
20/06 Marc-Andrea Huesler
ATP Mallorca · Grass
2-0 12-6 W
15/06 Tommy Paul
ATP Queens · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
14/06 Martin Damm
ATP Queens · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
13/06 Liam Broady
ATP Queens · Grass
2-0 13-7 W

Arthur Fils

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Rafael Jodar
ATP Washington · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
02/07 Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 18-22 L
30/06 Raphael Collignon
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-9 W
01/05 Jannik Sinner
ATP Madrid · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
29/04 Jiri Lehecka
ATP Madrid · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
28/04 Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Madrid · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
26/04 Emilio Nava
ATP Madrid · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
24/04 Ignacio Buse
ATP Madrid · Clay
2-1 20-18 W
19/04 Andrey Rublev
ATP Barcelona · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
18/04 Rafael Jodar
ATP Barcelona · Clay
2-1 15-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Fils?

Our model gives 65% to Arthur Fils, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.