Tennis · ATP Montreal · 06/08, 17:00
Prediction: Valentin Royer vs Tommy Paul
Team pages: Valentin Royer · Tommy Paul
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Royer
Tommy Paul
Estimated games
26.1
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Royer
2-8 (W-L)
Tommy Paul
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Royer 1528 · Tommy Paul 1552
| Valentin Royer | Tommy Paul | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tommy Paul dominates on serve: 9.9 aces and 51.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Valentin Royer | Tommy Paul | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (3) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.8-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12.2 | 16-13.3 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 9.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 78.2% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Royer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Taro Daniel Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 07/07 | Maximilian Neuchrist Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Harry Wendelken Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 22/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Tommy Paul
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Hubert Hurkacz Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 01/07 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 29/06 | Alexandre Muller Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Zachary Svajda ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Casper Ruud French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 28-30 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Royer vs Tommy Paul?
Our model gives 67% to Tommy Paul, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.