Tennis · ATP Montreal · 06/08, 17:00
Prediction: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritz
Team pages: Thiago Agustin Tirante · Taylor Fritz
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Taylor Fritz
Estimated games
27.1
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Agustin Tirante
5-5 (W-L)
Taylor Fritz
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Agustin Tirante 1544 · Taylor Fritz 1599
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Taylor Fritz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taylor Fritz (rating 1544 vs 1599).
- Thiago Agustin Tirante dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 44.6% break avg.
- Taylor Fritz dominates on serve: 14.2 aces and 45.1% break avg.
- Taylor Fritz is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Thiago Agustin Tirante makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Taylor Fritz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (3) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.4 | 2.2-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.8-14.3 | 15.7-11.9 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 14.2 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 82.3% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Duncan Chan ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Fabian Marozsan Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Hamish Stewart ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Pablo Carreno Busta French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 21-23 | L |
| 27/05 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 23-16 | W |
| 24/05 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 25-16 | W |
| 18/05 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Taylor Fritz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Alex Michelsen ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Zizou Bergs ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 06/07 | Alexander Bublik Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Lorenzo Sonego Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 02/07 | Patrick Kypson Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Dusan Lajovic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritz?
Our model gives 72% to Taylor Fritz, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.