Tennis · ATP Montreal · 06/08, 17:00
Prediction: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo
Team pages: Hubert Hurkacz · Alejandro Tabilo
Prediction summary
Winner
Hubert Hurkacz
Alejandro Tabilo
Estimated games
28.3
Recent form · 10 last
Hubert Hurkacz
9-1 (W-L)
Alejandro Tabilo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hubert Hurkacz 1546 · Alejandro Tabilo 1484
| Hubert Hurkacz | Alejandro Tabilo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hubert Hurkacz (rating 1546 vs 1484).
- Hubert Hurkacz dominates on serve: 17.9 aces and 42.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Hubert Hurkacz | Alejandro Tabilo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (6) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.1-1.2 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 18.6-16.1 | 12.6-14.5 |
| Aces | 17.9 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 82.2% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 28.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hubert Hurkacz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Tommy Paul Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-19 | W |
| 01/07 | Sebastian Ofner Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Casper Ruud Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Andrey Rublev ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Marton Fucsovics ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 28/05 | Frances Tiafoe French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 28-31 | L |
| 25/05 | Jaume Munar French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 20-15 | W |
| 06/05 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Alejandro Tabilo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 01/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Terence Atmane ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/07 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Tiago Torres ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Kamil Majchrzak Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 23/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo?
Our model gives 60% to Hubert Hurkacz, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.