Tennis · WTA Toronto · 06/08, 18:00
Prediction: Viktorija Golubic vs Iga Swiatek
Team pages: Viktorija Golubic · Iga Swiatek
Prediction summary
Winner
Viktorija Golubic
Iga Swiatek
Estimated games
23.4Bet365 line 17.5
Recent form · 10 last
Viktorija Golubic
6-4 (W-L)
Iga Swiatek
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Viktorija Golubic
1–2
Iga Swiatek
(3 last)
- 26 Mar0-2 2-12L
- 22 Feb1-2 10-15L
- 01 Jul2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Viktorija Golubic 1541 · Iga Swiatek 1523
| Viktorija Golubic | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Viktorija Golubic 1–2 Iga Swiatek (3).
- Note: Iga Swiatek makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Viktorija Golubic | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 71% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-11.8 | 11.4-8.8 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4 · Bet365 line 17.5 · +5.9
Over 17.5: 85% · 1.83
Under 17.5: 15% · 1.83
H2H · Viktorija Golubic 1 – 2 Iga Swiatek (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Viktorija Golubic 1–2 Iga Swiatek
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/22 WTA Miami | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/02/22 WTA Doha | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/07/19 Wimbledon Women | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Viktorija Golubic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Donna Vekic WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/08 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Iryna Shymanovich Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Ann Li WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Sofia Kenin WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Sofia Kenin WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Iga Swiatek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/07 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Karolina Pliskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Taylor Townsend Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 31/05 | Marta Kostyuk French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Magda Linette French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/05 | Sara Bejlek French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/05 | Emerson Jones French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/05 | Elina Svitolina WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Viktorija Golubic vs Iga Swiatek?
Our model gives 70% to Iga Swiatek, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.