Tennis · ATP Montreal · 06/08, 17:00

Prediction: Jenson Brooksby vs Ben Shelton

Team pages: Jenson Brooksby · Ben Shelton

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Jenson Brooksby Ben Shelton
Estimated games
26.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jenson Brooksby 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWLWWLW
Ben Shelton 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jenson Brooksby 1520 · Ben Shelton 1541
Jenson BrooksbyBen Shelton
Our model47%53%
Market24%76%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Ben Shelton makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Jenson BrooksbyBen Shelton
Win %60%70%
Win % · Grass 50% (6) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.8-1.3
Games (G-P)11.2-9.817.3-16.2
Aces3.411.4
Double faults0.84.1
1st serve %72%78.3%
Break %39.3%32.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 26.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jenson Brooksby

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Adam Walton
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
31/07 Coleman Wong
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
30/07 Edward Winter
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
29/07 Corentin Moutet
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
03/07 Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 11-18 L
01/07 Ignacio Buse
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 18-7 W
29/06 Aleksandar Vukic
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-8 W
24/06 Ugo Humbert
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
23/06 Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
2-0 13-6 W
17/06 Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Queens · Grass
0-2 4-12 L

Ben Shelton

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/08 Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Washington · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
31/07 Ugo Humbert
ATP Washington · Hard
2-1 18-14 W
28/07 Martin Damm
ATP Washington · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
30/06 Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon · Grass
2-3 25-28 L
19/06 Taylor Fritz
ATP Halle · Grass
1-2 19-20 L
18/06 Ethan Quinn
ATP Halle · Grass
2-1 17-15 W
17/06 Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Halle · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
14/06 Taylor Fritz
ATP Stuttgart · Grass
2-1 14-14 W
13/06 Jiri Lehecka
ATP Stuttgart · Grass
2-1 20-19 W
13/06 Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Stuttgart · Grass
2-1 16-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jenson Brooksby vs Ben Shelton?

Our model gives 66% to Ben Shelton, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.