Tennis · WTA Toronto · 05/08, 17:00
Prediction: Sloane Stephens vs Belinda Bencic
Team pages: Sloane Stephens · Belinda Bencic
Prediction summary
Winner
Sloane Stephens
Belinda Bencic
Estimated games
21.2Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sloane Stephens
6-4 (W-L)
Belinda Bencic
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sloane Stephens
1–0
Belinda Bencic
(1 last)
- 20 Oct2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sloane Stephens 1542 · Belinda Bencic 1556
| Sloane Stephens | Belinda Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Sloane Stephens dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 40.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Sloane Stephens 1–0 Belinda Bencic (1).
Statistics
| Sloane Stephens | Belinda Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.1 | 12-8.8 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +2.7
Over 18.5: 68% · 1.83
Under 18.5: 32% · 1.83
H2H · Sloane Stephens 1 – 0 Belinda Bencic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sloane Stephens 1–0 Belinda Bencic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/22 WTA Guadalajara | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sloane Stephens
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Solana Sierra WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Sara Bejlek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Leyre Romero Gormaz French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Lisa Pigato French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Carol Young Suh Lee French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Belinda Bencic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Anna Kalinskaya Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/07 | Xinyu Wang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/05 | Elina Svitolina French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/05 | Peyton Stearns French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Caty McNally French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Sinja Kraus French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/05 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sloane Stephens vs Belinda Bencic?
Our model gives 70% to Belinda Bencic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.