Tennis · WTA Toronto · 05/08, 17:00
Prediction: Linda Noskova vs Caty McNally
Team pages: Linda Noskova · Caty McNally
Prediction summary
Winner
Linda Noskova
Caty McNally
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Linda Noskova
8-2 (W-L)
Caty McNally
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Linda Noskova
0–1
Caty McNally
(1 last)
- 14 Oct1-2 11-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Linda Noskova 1640 · Caty McNally 1529
| Linda Noskova | Caty McNally | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linda Noskova (rating 1640 vs 1529).
- Linda Noskova dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 47.5% break avg.
- Linda Noskova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Linda Noskova 0–1 Caty McNally (1).
- Note: Linda Noskova makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Caty McNally makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Linda Noskova | Caty McNally | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 90% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10.2 | 12.3-11.2 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 61% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +3.8
Over 19.5: 75% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 25% · 1.83
H2H · Linda Noskova 0 – 1 Caty McNally (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Linda Noskova 0–1 Caty McNally
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/22 ITF W60 Trnava | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linda Noskova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Sorana Cirstea Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Maria Camila Osorio Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Ella Seidel Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Jessica Pegula WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Caty McNally
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Yexin Ma WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Xiyu Wang WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Elena Rybakina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Emiliana Arango WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Janice Tjen WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linda Noskova vs Caty McNally?
Our model gives 72% to Linda Noskova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.