Tennis · WTA Toronto · 05/08, 19:00
Prediction: Sorana Cirstea vs Maya Joint
Team pages: Sorana Cirstea · Maya Joint
Prediction summary
Winner
Sorana Cirstea
Maya Joint
Estimated games
23.2Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sorana Cirstea
8-2 (W-L)
Maya Joint
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sorana Cirstea
1–0
Maya Joint
(1 last)
- 06 Mar2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sorana Cirstea 1545 · Maya Joint 1489
| Sorana Cirstea | Maya Joint | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 74% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sorana Cirstea (rating 1545 vs 1489).
- Head-to-head: Sorana Cirstea 1–0 Maya Joint (1).
- Note: Maya Joint makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Sorana Cirstea | Maya Joint | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 60% (5) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.4-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.2 | 13.3-13.2 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +3.7
Over 19.5: 74% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 26% · 1.83
H2H · Sorana Cirstea 1 – 0 Maya Joint (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sorana Cirstea 1–0 Maya Joint
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/25 WTA Indian Wells | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sorana Cirstea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Kimberly Birrell Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Sara Bejlek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Maddison Inglis WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Mirra Andreeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Xiyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Solana Sierra French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/05 | Eva Lys French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/05 | Ksenia Efremova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Maya Joint
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Ana Grubor WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 30/07 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Whitney Osuigwe WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Laura Samsonova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Serena Williams Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Emiliana Arango WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sorana Cirstea vs Maya Joint?
Our model gives 67% to Sorana Cirstea, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.