Tennis · ATP Montreal · 05/08, 19:00
Prediction: Ignacio Buse vs Cameron Norrie
Team pages: Ignacio Buse · Cameron Norrie
Prediction summary
Winner
Ignacio Buse
Cameron Norrie
Estimated games
24.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ignacio Buse
3-7 (W-L)
Cameron Norrie
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ignacio Buse 1494 · Cameron Norrie 1487
| Ignacio Buse | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ignacio Buse | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (6) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-13.4 | 11.9-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ignacio Buse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Vit Kopriva ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jenson Brooksby Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Emilio Nava Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 24/06 | Vit Kopriva ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Marcos Giron ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Cameron Norrie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 31/07 | Bernard Tomic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/07 | James Duckworth ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Michael Zheng Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 25-31 | L |
| 16/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Mariano Navone ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Jannik Sinner ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ignacio Buse vs Cameron Norrie?
Our model gives 58% to Cameron Norrie, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.