Tennis · ATP Montreal · 05/08, 00:00
Prediction: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniel Altmaier
Team pages: Brandon Nakashima · Daniel Altmaier
Prediction summary
Winner
Brandon Nakashima
Daniel Altmaier
Estimated games
25.1
Recent form · 10 last
Brandon Nakashima
9-1 (W-L)
Daniel Altmaier
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Brandon Nakashima
1–0
Daniel Altmaier
(1 last)
- 01 Mar2-1 15-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brandon Nakashima 1554 · Daniel Altmaier 1522
| Brandon Nakashima | Daniel Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Brandon Nakashima dominates on serve: 11.1 aces and 59% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Brandon Nakashima 1–0 Daniel Altmaier (1).
- Note: Daniel Altmaier makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Brandon Nakashima | Daniel Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.8 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.5-12.9 | 13.4-13 |
| Aces | 11.1 | 9.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 79.5% | 74% |
| Break % | 59% | 30.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1
H2H · Brandon Nakashima 1 – 0 Daniel Altmaier (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brandon Nakashima 1–0 Daniel Altmaier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/23 ATP Acapulco | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brandon Nakashima
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Alex De Minaur ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Jakub Mensik ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Jan-Lennard Struff Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 31-31 | L |
| 30/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Ignacio Buse ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Marton Fucsovics ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Daniel Altmaier
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 22/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Alex Molcan Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-22 | L |
| 23/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brandon Nakashima vs Daniel Altmaier?
Our model gives 64% to Brandon Nakashima, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.