Tennis · WTA Toronto · 05/08, 19:00
Prediction: Renata Zarazua vs Leylah Annie Fernandez
Team pages: Renata Zarazua · Leylah Annie Fernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Renata Zarazua
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Estimated games
21.1Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Renata Zarazua
6-4 (W-L)
Leylah Annie Fernandez
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Renata Zarazua
0–2
Leylah Annie Fernandez
(2 last)
- 10 Aug0-2 5-12L
- 29 Feb0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Renata Zarazua 1558 · Leylah Annie Fernandez 1439
| Renata Zarazua | Leylah Annie Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Renata Zarazua (rating 1558 vs 1439).
- Renata Zarazua is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Renata Zarazua 0–2 Leylah Annie Fernandez (2).
- Note: Leylah Annie Fernandez makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Renata Zarazua | Leylah Annie Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8.9 | 11-12.4 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +0.6
Over 20.5: 54% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 46% · 1.80
H2H · Renata Zarazua 0 – 2 Leylah Annie Fernandez (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Renata Zarazua 0–2 Leylah Annie Fernandez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/20 WTA Lexington | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/02/20 WTA Acapulco | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Renata Zarazua
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 01/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | McCartney Kessler WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Yuki Naito W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Sloane Stephens W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Cadence Brace W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Leylah Annie Fernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Magda Linette WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Janice Tjen Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Xinyu Wang WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Katie Boulter WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Katie Boulter WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 25/05 | Alycia Parks French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Victoria Mboko WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Magdalena Frech WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Renata Zarazua vs Leylah Annie Fernandez?
Our model gives 53% to Leylah Annie Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.