Tennis · WTA Toronto · 05/08, 19:00
Prediction: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez
Team pages: Maria Sakkari · Zeynep Sonmez
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Sakkari
Zeynep Sonmez
Estimated games
22.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Sakkari
7-3 (W-L)
Zeynep Sonmez
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Sakkari
2–1
Zeynep Sonmez
(3 last)
- 09 Feb2-0 12-4W
- 18 Oct2-0 13-8W
- 26 Feb0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Sakkari 1530 · Zeynep Sonmez 1511
| Maria Sakkari | Zeynep Sonmez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Maria Sakkari 2–1 Zeynep Sonmez (3).
Statistics
| Maria Sakkari | Zeynep Sonmez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 40% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.7 | 12.7-12.6 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.1
Over 21.5: 57% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 43% · 1.90
H2H · Maria Sakkari 2 – 1 Zeynep Sonmez (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Sakkari 2–1 Zeynep Sonmez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/26 WTA Doha | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/10/25 WTA Tokyo | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/02/25 WTA Merida | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Sakkari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Harriet Dart WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Kamilla Rakhimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Clara Tauson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Zeynep Sonmez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Rebecca Marino WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Cadence Brace WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Ann Li Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Harriet Dart WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/06 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez?
Our model gives 59% to Maria Sakkari, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.