Tennis · WTA Toronto · 05/08, 19:00
Prediction: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend
Team pages: Marie Bouzkova · Taylor Townsend
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Bouzkova
Taylor Townsend
Estimated games
22.4Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Bouzkova
8-2 (W-L)
Taylor Townsend
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marie Bouzkova
2–2
Taylor Townsend
(4 last)
- 07 May0-2 8-13L
- 05 Mar0-2 3-12L
- 01 Aug2-0 14-11W
- 22 Sept2-1 16-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Bouzkova 1562 · Taylor Townsend 1537
| Marie Bouzkova | Taylor Townsend | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marie Bouzkova | Taylor Townsend | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 86% (7) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-10.3 | 11-10 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.9
Over 20.5: 63% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 37% · 1.90
H2H · Marie Bouzkova 2 – 2 Taylor Townsend (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marie Bouzkova 2–2 Taylor Townsend
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/26 WTA Rome | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/03/26 WTA Indian Wells | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/08/24 WTA Washington | 2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/09/16 ITF Women Albuquerque | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Bouzkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 02/07 | Tyra Caterina Grant Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Talia Gibson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Taylor Townsend
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Iga Swiatek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Martina Trevisan WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/05 | Coco Gauff French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Iva Jovic WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/05 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/05 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/05 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend?
Our model gives 52% to Marie Bouzkova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.