Tennis · WTA Toronto · 05/08, 19:00
Prediction: Alycia Parks vs Alexandra Eala
Team pages: Alycia Parks · Alexandra Eala
Prediction summary
Winner
Alycia Parks
Alexandra Eala
Estimated games
21.5Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alycia Parks
6-4 (W-L)
Alexandra Eala
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alycia Parks
1–0
Alexandra Eala
(1 last)
- 19 Jan2-1 12-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alycia Parks 1512 · Alexandra Eala 1601
| Alycia Parks | Alexandra Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Eala (rating 1512 vs 1601).
- Alycia Parks dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 54.8% break avg.
- Alexandra Eala is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Alycia Parks 1–0 Alexandra Eala (1).
- Note: Alycia Parks makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Alycia Parks | Alexandra Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.5 | 12.8-8.9 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2
Over 19.5: 64% · 1.90
Under 19.5: 36% · 1.80
H2H · Alycia Parks 1 – 0 Alexandra Eala (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alycia Parks 1–0 Alexandra Eala
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/26 Australian Open Women | 2-1 | 12-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alycia Parks
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Lucie Havlickova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 13/07 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Alicia Dudeney Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Emiliana Arango WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Maddison Inglis WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Alexandra Eala
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/07 | Iga Swiatek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Maya Joint Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Renata Zarazua Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alycia Parks vs Alexandra Eala?
Our model gives 74% to Alexandra Eala, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.