Tennis · ATP Montreal · 05/08, 19:00
Prediction: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Team pages: Nuno Borges · Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Prediction summary
Winner
Nuno Borges
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Estimated games
24.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nuno Borges
5-5 (W-L)
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nuno Borges
3–0
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
(3 last)
- 24 May3-0 18-9W
- 15 Apr2-0 13-9W
- 13 Jan2-1 17-17W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuno Borges 1547 · Tomas Martin Etcheverry 1470
| Nuno Borges | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nuno Borges (rating 1547 vs 1470).
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 41.8% break avg.
- Nuno Borges is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Nuno Borges 3–0 Tomas Martin Etcheverry (3).
Statistics
| Nuno Borges | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.5 | 11.6-13.3 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.5% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 35.2% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6
H2H · Nuno Borges 3 – 0 Tomas Martin Etcheverry (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nuno Borges 3–0 Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 French Open | 3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 15/04/26 ATP Barcelona | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/01/26 ATP Auckland | 2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuno Borges
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Orlando Luz ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Moise Kouame ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 16-20 | L |
| 29/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Luciano Darderi ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Ignacio Buse ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Lorenzo Sonego Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-25 | L |
| 24/06 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Karen Khachanov Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/06 | Alexander Bublik Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuno Borges vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry?
Our model gives 61% to Nuno Borges, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.