Tennis · ATP Montreal · 05/08, 19:00
Prediction: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone
Team pages: Valentin Vacherot · Mariano Navone
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Vacherot
Mariano Navone
Estimated games
25.2
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Vacherot
4-6 (W-L)
Mariano Navone
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Valentin Vacherot
1–0
Mariano Navone
(1 last)
- 21 Mar2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Vacherot 1525 · Mariano Navone 1514
| Valentin Vacherot | Mariano Navone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Valentin Vacherot 1–0 Mariano Navone (1).
Statistics
| Valentin Vacherot | Mariano Navone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.3 | 1.4-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 15-14.1 | 15-13.1 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 34.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.2
H2H · Valentin Vacherot 1 – 0 Mariano Navone (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valentin Vacherot 1–0 Mariano Navone
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 ATP Miami | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Vacherot
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Thomas Faurel French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 24/04 | Emilio Nava ATP Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 11/04 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Alex De Minaur ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/04 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/04 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/04 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
Mariano Navone
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Alexandre Muller ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Stefano Travaglia ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-21 | L |
| 21/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Jakub Mensik French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 25-22 | L |
| 25/05 | Jenson Brooksby French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-12 | W |
| 23/05 | Learner Tien ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone?
Our model gives 56% to Valentin Vacherot, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.