Tennis · WTA Toronto · 05/08, 00:30
Prediction: Clara Tauson vs Nikola Bartunkova
Team pages: Clara Tauson · Nikola Bartunkova
Prediction summary
Winner
Clara Tauson
Nikola Bartunkova
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Clara Tauson
6-4 (W-L)
Nikola Bartunkova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clara Tauson 1498 · Nikola Bartunkova 1531
| Clara Tauson | Nikola Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Nikola Bartunkova dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 41.1% break avg.
- Note: Clara Tauson makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Nikola Bartunkova makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Clara Tauson | Nikola Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 40% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11 | 14.5-12.1 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.1
Over 22.5: 65% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 35% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clara Tauson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 18/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Miriana Tona WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Nao Hibino WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Maria Sakkari Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Karolina Muchova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Diana Shnaider WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Diane Parry WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Nikola Bartunkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Yue Yuan WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Barbora Krejcikova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Peyton Stearns Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Diana Shnaider WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clara Tauson vs Nikola Bartunkova?
Our model gives 51% to Clara Tauson, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.