Tennis · WTA Toronto · 04/08, 20:00
Prediction: Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys
Team pages: Antonia Ruzic · Madison Keys
Prediction summary
Winner
Antonia Ruzic
Madison Keys
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Antonia Ruzic
4-6 (W-L)
Madison Keys
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Antonia Ruzic
0–1
Madison Keys
(1 last)
- 28 May0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Antonia Ruzic 1490 · Madison Keys 1571
| Antonia Ruzic | Madison Keys | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madison Keys (rating 1490 vs 1571).
- Head-to-head: Antonia Ruzic 0–1 Madison Keys (1).
Statistics
| Antonia Ruzic | Madison Keys | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (8) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.5 | 13-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.7% | 79.7% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +3.1
Over 20.5: 70% · 2.00
Under 20.5: 30% · 1.72
H2H · Antonia Ruzic 0 – 1 Madison Keys (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Antonia Ruzic 0–1 Madison Keys
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/26 French Open Women | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Antonia Ruzic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Lois Boisson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Jelena Ostapenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Darja Semenistaja Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Caty McNally WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 13/06 | Kaja Juvan WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Iva Jovic WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Storm Hunter WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Madison Keys
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Amanda Anisimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Katie Swan Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Kayla Day Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 27/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | McCartney Kessler WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Jessica Pegula WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys?
Our model gives 70% to Madison Keys, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.