Tennis · ATP Montreal · 05/08, 00:00
Prediction: James Duckworth vs Alex De Minaur
Team pages: James Duckworth · Alex De Minaur
Prediction summary
Winner
James Duckworth
Alex De Minaur
Estimated games
25.8
Recent form · 10 last
James Duckworth
4-6 (W-L)
Alex De Minaur
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
James Duckworth
0–2
Alex De Minaur
(2 last)
- 02 Jul0-3 18-21L
- 29 Jul0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Duckworth 1472 · Alex De Minaur 1575
| James Duckworth | Alex De Minaur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex De Minaur (rating 1472 vs 1575).
- Alex De Minaur is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: James Duckworth 0–2 Alex De Minaur (2).
- Note: James Duckworth makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| James Duckworth | Alex De Minaur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (6) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.6 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-14.6 | 14.4-10.7 |
| Aces | 7.5 | 4 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 77.2% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.8
H2H · James Duckworth 0 – 2 Alex De Minaur (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · James Duckworth 0–2 Alex De Minaur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/24 Wimbledon | 0-3 | 18-21 | L |
| 29/07/22 ATP Atlanta | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Duckworth
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Cameron Norrie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Aidan Mayo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 30/06 | Tallon Griekspoor Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 20/06 | Giles Hussey ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Rafael Jodar French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 17-25 | L |
Alex De Minaur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 04/07 | Zachary Svajda Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Adrian Mannarino Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Roman Andres Burruchaga Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Duckworth vs Alex De Minaur?
Our model gives 77% to Alex De Minaur, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.