Tennis · WTA Toronto · 05/08, 17:00
Prediction: Kayla Day vs Coco Gauff
Team pages: Kayla Day · Coco Gauff
Prediction summary
Winner
Kayla Day
Coco Gauff
Estimated games
24Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kayla Day
7-3 (W-L)
Coco Gauff
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kayla Day 1537 · Coco Gauff 1561
| Kayla Day | Coco Gauff | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Coco Gauff makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Kayla Day | Coco Gauff | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 57% (7) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.8 | 14.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +5.5
Over 18.5: 83% · 1.90
Under 18.5: 17% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kayla Day
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Diane Parry WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Hanyu Guo WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Katarzyna Kawa Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Erika Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Cadence Brace Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Mary Stoiana WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Coco Gauff
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Solana Sierra Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Tamara Korpatsch Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Paula Badosa WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Anastasia Potapova French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 28/05 | Mayar Sherif French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Taylor Townsend French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kayla Day vs Coco Gauff?
Our model gives 72% to Coco Gauff, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.