Tennis · WTA Toronto · 05/08, 17:00
Prediction: Anna Kalinskaya vs McCartney Kessler
Team pages: Anna Kalinskaya · McCartney Kessler
Prediction summary
Winner
Anna Kalinskaya
McCartney Kessler
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Anna Kalinskaya
5-5 (W-L)
McCartney Kessler
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna Kalinskaya 1525 · McCartney Kessler 1487
| Anna Kalinskaya | McCartney Kessler | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Anna Kalinskaya makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Anna Kalinskaya | McCartney Kessler | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 60% (5) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.3 | 9.2-10.2 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 33.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 50% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 50% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna Kalinskaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Janice Tjen WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Diane Parry Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Magdalena Frech Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Sinja Kraus WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Anastasia Potapova French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
McCartney Kessler
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Cadence Brace WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Renata Zarazua WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Aryna Sabalenka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Oleksandra Oliynykova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/06 | Madison Keys WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Katie Volynets WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Diana Shnaider French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna Kalinskaya vs McCartney Kessler?
Our model gives 58% to Anna Kalinskaya, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.