Tennis · WTA Toronto · 05/08, 17:00
Prediction: Elena-Gabriela Ruse vs Anastasia Potapova
Team pages: Elena-Gabriela Ruse · Anastasia Potapova
Prediction summary
Winner
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Anastasia Potapova
Estimated games
22.4Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
5-5 (W-L)
Anastasia Potapova
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena-Gabriela Ruse 1532 · Anastasia Potapova 1527
| Elena-Gabriela Ruse | Anastasia Potapova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Elena-Gabriela Ruse makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Anastasia Potapova makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Elena-Gabriela Ruse | Anastasia Potapova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 63% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.1 | 12-11 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 49% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 51% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Peyton Stearns WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Caty McNally Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Karolina Muchova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Taylor Townsend WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/06 | Shuai Zhang WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Anastasia Potapova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Diana Shnaider WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Venus Williams WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Suzan Lamens WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 01/06 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Coco Gauff French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/05 | Katie Boulter French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Maya Joint French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/05 | Jessica Pegula WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena-Gabriela Ruse vs Anastasia Potapova?
Our model gives 54% to Anastasia Potapova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.