Tennis · WTA Toronto · 05/08, 16:00
Prediction: Alina Korneeva vs Emma Navarro
Team pages: Alina Korneeva · Emma Navarro
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Korneeva
Emma Navarro
Estimated games
24.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Korneeva
5-5 (W-L)
Emma Navarro
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Korneeva 1551 · Emma Navarro 1546
| Alina Korneeva | Emma Navarro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Emma Navarro makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Alina Korneeva | Emma Navarro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (4) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.2 | 12.7-12.2 |
| Aces | 3 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.6
Over 22.5: 61% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 39% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Korneeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Mary Stoiana WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Ann Li WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Aoi Ito WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Kimberly Birrell Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Alexandra Shubladze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Martyna Kubka WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Emma Navarro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/07 | Sofia Kenin WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Oksana Selekhmeteva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Paula Badosa Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Iga Swiatek WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Eva Lys WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Korneeva vs Emma Navarro?
Our model gives 53% to Emma Navarro, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.