Tennis · WTA Toronto · 04/08, 17:00
Prediction: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Team pages: Elina Svitolina · Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Elina Svitolina
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Estimated games
21.7Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elina Svitolina
4-6 (W-L)
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elina Svitolina
3–0
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
(3 last)
- 08 May2-0 13-10W
- 18 Apr2-0 12-5W
- 15 Aug2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elina Svitolina 1525 · Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 1510
| Elina Svitolina | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Elina Svitolina 3–0 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (3).
Statistics
| Elina Svitolina | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.6 | 9.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2.2
Over 19.5: 65% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 35% · 1.83
H2H · Elina Svitolina 3 – 0 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elina Svitolina 3–0 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/25 WTA Rome | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/04/25 WTA Rouen | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08/24 WTA Cincinnati | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elina Svitolina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Daria Snigur Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Eva Lys WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Marta Kostyuk French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 31/05 | Belinda Bencic French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/05 | Tamara Korpatsch French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Kaitlin Quevedo French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Dayana Yastremska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Anastasia Potapova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Madison Keys WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro?
Our model gives 66% to Elina Svitolina, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.