Tennis · WTA Toronto · 04/08, 17:00
Prediction: Maria Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
Team pages: Maria Camila Osorio · Ekaterina Alexandrova
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Camila Osorio
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Camila Osorio
5-5 (W-L)
Ekaterina Alexandrova
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Camila Osorio
3–0
Ekaterina Alexandrova
(3 last)
- 25 May2-0 12-6W
- 18 Oct2-0 13-10W
- 30 Jun2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Camila Osorio 1511 · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1498
| Maria Camila Osorio | Ekaterina Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Maria Camila Osorio 3–0 Ekaterina Alexandrova (3).
- Note: Maria Camila Osorio makes many double faults (5.6/match).
- Note: Ekaterina Alexandrova makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Maria Camila Osorio | Ekaterina Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (3) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11 | 11-11.2 |
| Aces | 2 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 66% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 35.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.5
Over 22.5: 53% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 47% · 1.80
H2H · Maria Camila Osorio 3 – 0 Ekaterina Alexandrova (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Camila Osorio 3–0 Ekaterina Alexandrova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/26 French Open Women | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10/22 WTA Guadalajara | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06/21 Wimbledon Women | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Camila Osorio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Storm Hunter WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Simona Waltert Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Yulia Putintseva French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 25/05 | Ekaterina Alexandrova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/05 | Panna Udvardy WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Ekaterina Alexandrova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Iva Jovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Lanlana Tararudee Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Panna Udvardy Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Ann Li WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Panna Udvardy WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Maria Camila Osorio French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Ann Li WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova?
Our model gives 53% to Ekaterina Alexandrova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.