Tennis · WTA Toronto · 04/08, 17:00
Prediction: Sara Bejlek vs Iga Swiatek
Team pages: Sara Bejlek · Iga Swiatek
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Bejlek
Iga Swiatek
Estimated games
20.7Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Bejlek
6-4 (W-L)
Iga Swiatek
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sara Bejlek
0–1
Iga Swiatek
(1 last)
- 27 May0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Bejlek 1539 · Iga Swiatek 1552
| Sara Bejlek | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Sara Bejlek 0–1 Iga Swiatek (1).
- Note: Iga Swiatek makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Sara Bejlek | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.8 | 11.4-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +2.2
Over 18.5: 65% · 1.80
Under 18.5: 35% · 1.90
H2H · Sara Bejlek 0 – 1 Iga Swiatek (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sara Bejlek 0–1 Iga Swiatek
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/26 French Open Women | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Bejlek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Clara Tauson WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Sorana Cirstea Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Laura Siegemund WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 16/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Iga Swiatek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Karolina Pliskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Taylor Townsend Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 31/05 | Marta Kostyuk French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Magda Linette French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/05 | Sara Bejlek French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/05 | Emerson Jones French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/05 | Elina Svitolina WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Jessica Pegula WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Bejlek vs Iga Swiatek?
Our model gives 71% to Iga Swiatek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.