Tennis · WTA Toronto · 04/08, 17:00
Prediction: Yulia Starodubtsewa vs Maya Joint
Team pages: Yulia Starodubtsewa · Maya Joint
Prediction summary
Winner
Yulia Starodubtsewa
Maya Joint
Estimated games
25.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yulia Starodubtsewa
3-7 (W-L)
Maya Joint
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yulia Starodubtsewa
1–0
Maya Joint
(1 last)
- 15 Jun2-1 19-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yulia Starodubtsewa 1467 · Maya Joint 1480
| Yulia Starodubtsewa | Maya Joint | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Yulia Starodubtsewa 1–0 Maya Joint (1).
- Note: Maya Joint makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Yulia Starodubtsewa | Maya Joint | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 25% (4) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.2-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-13.3 | 12.4-13.4 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3
Over 22.5: 70% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 30% · 1.80
H2H · Yulia Starodubtsewa 1 – 0 Maya Joint (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yulia Starodubtsewa 1–0 Maya Joint
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/26 WTA Nottingham | 2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yulia Starodubtsewa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Sloane Stephens WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Anna Blinkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Maya Joint WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 29/05 | Xiyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Elena Rybakina French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/05 | Anna Blinkova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Angela Fita Boluda WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Maya Joint
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Ana Grubor WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 30/07 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Whitney Osuigwe WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Laura Samsonova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Serena Williams Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Emiliana Arango WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/06 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yulia Starodubtsewa vs Maya Joint?
Our model gives 51% to Yulia Starodubtsewa, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.