Tennis · WTA Toronto · 04/08, 17:00
Prediction: Diane Parry vs Kayla Day
Team pages: Diane Parry · Kayla Day
Prediction summary
Winner
Diane Parry
Kayla Day
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Diane Parry
5-5 (W-L)
Kayla Day
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diane Parry 1518 · Kayla Day 1523
| Diane Parry | Kayla Day | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Diane Parry makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Diane Parry | Kayla Day | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 63% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.9 | 12-11 |
| Aces | 5 | 3 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 35.2% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.3
Over 21.5: 59% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 41% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diane Parry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Anna Kalinskaya Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Francesca Jones Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Irina-Camelia Begu WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Aoi Ito WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Ella Seidel WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Kayla Day
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Hanyu Guo WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Katarzyna Kawa Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Erika Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Cadence Brace Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Mary Stoiana WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Jennifer Ruggeri W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diane Parry vs Kayla Day?
Our model gives 52% to Kayla Day, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.