Tennis · WTA Toronto · 04/08, 17:00
Prediction: Solana Sierra vs Sloane Stephens
Team pages: Solana Sierra · Sloane Stephens
Prediction summary
Winner
Solana Sierra
Sloane Stephens
Estimated games
24Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Solana Sierra
3-7 (W-L)
Sloane Stephens
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Solana Sierra 1502 · Sloane Stephens 1527
| Solana Sierra | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Solana Sierra makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Solana Sierra | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 57% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-13.4 | 11.6-10 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 6.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.5
Over 22.5: 60% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 40% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Solana Sierra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Anna Bondar Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/06 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/06 | Anna Blinkova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 20/06 | Ella Seidel WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Caty McNally WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Lois Boisson WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/05 | Sorana Cirstea French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Jasmine Paolini French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Sloane Stephens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Sara Bejlek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Leyre Romero Gormaz French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Lisa Pigato French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Carol Young Suh Lee French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Veronika Podrez WTA Paris · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Solana Sierra vs Sloane Stephens?
Our model gives 53% to Sloane Stephens, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.