Tennis · ATP Montreal · 04/08, 16:30
Prediction: Adam Walton vs Jenson Brooksby
Team pages: Adam Walton · Jenson Brooksby
Prediction summary
Winner
Adam Walton
Jenson Brooksby
Estimated games
24.7
Recent form · 10 last
Adam Walton
9-1 (W-L)
Jenson Brooksby
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adam Walton 1542 · Jenson Brooksby 1524
| Adam Walton | Jenson Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Adam Walton dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 46.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Adam Walton | Jenson Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.8-13.7 | 11.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 33.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adam Walton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Justin Boulais ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 24/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 11/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Dino Prizmic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-23 | L |
Jenson Brooksby
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Corentin Moutet ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Ignacio Buse Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Aleksandar Vukic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Martin Damm ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adam Walton vs Jenson Brooksby?
Our model gives 53% to Jenson Brooksby, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.