Tennis · ATP Montreal · 04/08, 16:30
Prediction: Duncan Chan vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Team pages: Duncan Chan · Thiago Agustin Tirante
Prediction summary
Winner
Duncan Chan
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Duncan Chan
2-8 (W-L)
Thiago Agustin Tirante
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Duncan Chan 1509 · Thiago Agustin Tirante 1512
| Duncan Chan | Thiago Agustin Tirante | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Thiago Agustin Tirante dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 42.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Duncan Chan | Thiago Agustin Tirante | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.3-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.6 | 13.9-14 |
| Aces | 2 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 34.7% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Duncan Chan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Hugo Gaston ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/07 | James McCabe Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 20/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Timo Legout M25 Laval |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Nicola Ion M25 Laval |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Braden Shick M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Fabian Marozsan Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Hamish Stewart ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Pablo Carreno Busta French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 21-23 | L |
| 27/05 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 23-16 | W |
| 24/05 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 25-16 | W |
| 18/05 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Duncan Chan vs Thiago Agustin Tirante?
Our model gives 61% to Thiago Agustin Tirante, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.