Tennis · WTA Toronto · 02/08, 18:30
Prediction: Moyuka Uchijima vs Cristina Bucsa
Team pages: Moyuka Uchijima · Cristina Bucsa
Prediction summary
Winner
Moyuka Uchijima
Cristina Bucsa
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Moyuka Uchijima
2-8 (W-L)
Cristina Bucsa
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moyuka Uchijima 1504 · Cristina Bucsa 1493
| Moyuka Uchijima | Cristina Bucsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Moyuka Uchijima makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Moyuka Uchijima | Cristina Bucsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-13 | 11.8-12.2 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.8
Over 21.5: 62% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 38% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moyuka Uchijima
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Maddison Inglis WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 29/07 | Miho Kuramochi WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Esther Adeshina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Alycia Parks WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Cristina Bucsa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Susan Bandecchi French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Shuai Zhang WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 07/05 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/04 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 08/03 | Elise Mertens WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/03 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/03 | Magdalena Frech WTA Merida · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/03 | Jasmine Paolini WTA Merida · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/02 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Merida · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moyuka Uchijima vs Cristina Bucsa?
Our model gives 53% to Cristina Bucsa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.