Tennis · WTA Toronto · 02/08, 22:00
Prediction: Emerson Jones vs Lanlana Tararudee
Team pages: Emerson Jones · Lanlana Tararudee
Prediction summary
Winner
Emerson Jones
Lanlana Tararudee
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Emerson Jones
4-6 (W-L)
Lanlana Tararudee
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Emerson Jones
0–1
Lanlana Tararudee
(1 last)
- 28 Feb0-2 6-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emerson Jones 1499 · Lanlana Tararudee 1603
| Emerson Jones | Lanlana Tararudee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lanlana Tararudee (rating 1499 vs 1603).
- Lanlana Tararudee is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Emerson Jones 0–1 Lanlana Tararudee (1).
- Note: Emerson Jones makes many double faults (7.4/match).
Statistics
| Emerson Jones | Lanlana Tararudee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.5 | 12.7-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 7.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 50% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 50% · 1.80
H2H · Emerson Jones 0 – 1 Lanlana Tararudee (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Emerson Jones 0–1 Lanlana Tararudee
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/24 ITF W35 Traralgon | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emerson Jones
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Madison Brengle WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Carol Zhao WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Ayana Akli W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Linda Fruhvirtova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Dalma Galfi WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 02/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/05 | Iga Swiatek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Lanlana Tararudee
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 21/07 | Jana Kovackova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/07 | Vera Zvonareva WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Ekaterina Alexandrova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emerson Jones vs Lanlana Tararudee?
Our model gives 62% to Lanlana Tararudee, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.