Tennis · ATP Montreal · 02/08, 20:00
Prediction: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet
Team pages: Luca Van Assche · Titouan Droguet
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Van Assche
Titouan Droguet
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Van Assche
5-5 (W-L)
Titouan Droguet
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Luca Van Assche
2–1
Titouan Droguet
(3 last)
- 15 Jul1-2 12-14L
- 30 Jan2-0 12-8W
- 09 Oct2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Van Assche 1626 · Titouan Droguet 1567
| Luca Van Assche | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Van Assche (rating 1626 vs 1567).
- Head-to-head: Luca Van Assche 2–1 Titouan Droguet (3).
- Note: Luca Van Assche makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Luca Van Assche | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.9 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.8-11.1 | 11.1-10 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 70% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Luca Van Assche 2 – 1 Titouan Droguet (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luca Van Assche 2–1 Titouan Droguet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/26 ATP Umag | 1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/01/26 Challenger Quimper | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/10/24 Challenger Roanne | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Van Assche
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 25/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Titouan Droguet ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 20/06 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
Titouan Droguet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Valentin Royer Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet?
Our model gives 55% to Luca Van Assche, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.