Tennis · ATP Montreal · 02/08, 18:30
Prediction: Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaier
Team pages: Aleksandar Vukic · Daniel Altmaier
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandar Vukic
Daniel Altmaier
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandar Vukic
9-1 (W-L)
Daniel Altmaier
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aleksandar Vukic
2–1
Daniel Altmaier
(3 last)
- 26 Sept2-0 12-6W
- 03 Jul3-1 23-20W
- 16 Mar1-2 11-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandar Vukic 1620 · Daniel Altmaier 1526
| Aleksandar Vukic | Daniel Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aleksandar Vukic (rating 1620 vs 1526).
- Aleksandar Vukic is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Aleksandar Vukic 2–1 Daniel Altmaier (3).
Statistics
| Aleksandar Vukic | Daniel Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-9.5 | 12.8-12.2 |
| Aces | 8.7 | 9.3 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 80.4% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 39% | 28.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Aleksandar Vukic 2 – 1 Daniel Altmaier (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aleksandar Vukic 2–1 Daniel Altmaier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/25 ATP Tokyo | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07/23 Wimbledon | 3-1 | 23-20 | W |
| 16/03/22 Challenger Phoenix | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandar Vukic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Zachary Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Alex Bolt ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 19/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Daniel Altmaier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Alex Molcan Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-22 | L |
| 23/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/06 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaier?
Our model gives 59% to Aleksandar Vukic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.