Tennis · ATP Montreal · 02/08, 18:30
Prediction: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell
Team pages: James Duckworth · Christopher O'Connell
Prediction summary
Winner
James Duckworth
Christopher O'Connell
Estimated games
26.2
Recent form · 10 last
James Duckworth
3-7 (W-L)
Christopher O'Connell
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
James Duckworth
1–1
Christopher O'Connell
(2 last)
- 14 Jun0-2 6-13L
- 30 Aug3-1 23-17W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Duckworth 1457 · Christopher O'Connell 1572
| James Duckworth | Christopher O'Connell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Christopher O'Connell (rating 1457 vs 1572).
- Christopher O'Connell is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| James Duckworth | Christopher O'Connell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (6) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-15.7 | 13.4-11.7 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 8.9 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 81.5% |
| Break % | 33.4% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.2
H2H · James Duckworth 1 – 1 Christopher O'Connell (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · James Duckworth 1–1 Christopher O'Connell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/25 ATP Queens | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/08/22 US Open | 3-1 | 23-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Duckworth
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Cameron Norrie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Aidan Mayo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 30/06 | Tallon Griekspoor Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 20/06 | Giles Hussey ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Rafael Jodar French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 17-25 | L |
| 19/05 | Laslo Djere ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Christopher O'Connell
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Andres Martin ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Bernard Tomic Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Joel Schwaerzler Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Jay Clarke Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 15/06 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell?
Our model gives 64% to Christopher O'Connell, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.