Tennis · WTA Toronto · 02/08, 20:00
Prediction: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean
Team pages: Magdalena Frech · Leolia Jeanjean
Prediction summary
Winner
Magdalena Frech
Leolia Jeanjean
Estimated games
24Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Magdalena Frech
3-7 (W-L)
Leolia Jeanjean
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Magdalena Frech
1–0
Leolia Jeanjean
(1 last)
- 03 May2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magdalena Frech 1441 · Leolia Jeanjean 1564
| Magdalena Frech | Leolia Jeanjean | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leolia Jeanjean (rating 1441 vs 1564).
- Leolia Jeanjean is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Magdalena Frech 1–0 Leolia Jeanjean (1).
- Note: Leolia Jeanjean makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Magdalena Frech | Leolia Jeanjean | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 20% (5) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12.6 | 13-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.5
Over 21.5: 67% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 33% · 1.83
H2H · Magdalena Frech 1 – 0 Leolia Jeanjean (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magdalena Frech 1–0 Leolia Jeanjean
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/22 WTA Saint-Malo | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magdalena Frech
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Ann Li WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Anna Kalinskaya Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Eva Lys WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Shuai Zhang WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 27/05 | Jil Teichmann French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Talia Gibson WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Leolia Jeanjean
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Lin Zhu WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Alice Tubello WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Amandine Monnot WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Daria Snigur Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Veronika Erjavec Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/06 | Katie Volynets Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Xiaodi You Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean?
Our model gives 53% to Leolia Jeanjean, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.