Tennis · WTA Toronto · 02/08, 20:00
Prediction: Aoi Ito vs Katherine Sebov
Team pages: Aoi Ito · Katherine Sebov
Prediction summary
Winner
Aoi Ito
Katherine Sebov
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Aoi Ito
3-7 (W-L)
Katherine Sebov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aoi Ito 1481 · Katherine Sebov 1503
| Aoi Ito | Katherine Sebov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Aoi Ito makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Aoi Ito | Katherine Sebov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12.6 | 11.8-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 55.3% | 55.2% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.5
Over 20.5: 60% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 40% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aoi Ito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 26/07 | Yexin Ma WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Astra Sharma WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Yasmine Mansouri WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Dayana Yastremska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Diane Parry WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Katherine Sebov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Aran Teixido Garcia WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Camila Soares WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Cadence Brace WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Iryna Shymanovich Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 24/06 | Noma Noha Akugue Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 23/06 | Jazmin Ortenzi Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Allura Zamarripa WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aoi Ito vs Katherine Sebov?
Our model gives 53% to Aoi Ito, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.