Tennis · ATP Montreal · 02/08, 17:00
Prediction: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Team pages: Michael Zheng · Miomir Kecmanovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Zheng
Miomir Kecmanovic
Estimated games
26.7
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Zheng
5-5 (W-L)
Miomir Kecmanovic
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Zheng 1555 · Miomir Kecmanovic 1488
| Michael Zheng | Miomir Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michael Zheng (rating 1555 vs 1488).
- Michael Zheng is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Michael Zheng | Miomir Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (3) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.1 | 1.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.8-12.5 | 14.1-16.1 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 29.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Kei Nishikori ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Martin Landaluce ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Felix Auger Aliassime Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 01/07 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-18 | W |
| 29/06 | Cameron Norrie Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 31-25 | W |
Miomir Kecmanovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-28 | L |
| 25/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 22/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Nuno Borges French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 11-21 | L |
| 24/05 | Fabian Marozsan French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic?
Our model gives 57% to Michael Zheng, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.