Tennis · ATP Montreal · 03/08, 01:00
Prediction: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet
Team pages: Gabriel Diallo · Kyrian Jacquet
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriel Diallo
Kyrian Jacquet
Estimated games
25.5
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriel Diallo
1-9 (W-L)
Kyrian Jacquet
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriel Diallo 1453 · Kyrian Jacquet 1544
| Gabriel Diallo | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kyrian Jacquet (rating 1453 vs 1544).
- Gabriel Diallo dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 54.1% break avg.
- Kyrian Jacquet dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 43.7% break avg.
- Kyrian Jacquet is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Kyrian Jacquet makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Gabriel Diallo | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (6) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-13.9 | 14-12.7 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriel Diallo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Tristan Boyer ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Lorenzo Sonego Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 27-30 | L |
| 25/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Terence Atmane ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/04 | Alexander Zverev ATP Munich · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Munich · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/04 | Joao Fonseca ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Kyrian Jacquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Alexander Bublik Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Vilius Gaubas Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Timofey Skatov Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Guerrieri Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet?
Our model gives 50% to Gabriel Diallo, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.