Tennis · WTA Toronto · 01/08, 22:30
Prediction: Harriet Dart vs Sloane Stephens
Team pages: Harriet Dart · Sloane Stephens
Prediction summary
Winner
Harriet Dart
Sloane Stephens
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Harriet Dart
5-5 (W-L)
Sloane Stephens
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harriet Dart 1471 · Sloane Stephens 1500
| Harriet Dart | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Harriet Dart makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Harriet Dart | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-13.4 | 10.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harriet Dart
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Taylah Preston WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Kayla Cross WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mina Hodzic WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Jelena Ostapenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Hannah Klugman WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Sloane Stephens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Sara Bejlek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Leyre Romero Gormaz French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Lisa Pigato French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Carol Young Suh Lee French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Veronika Podrez WTA Paris · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/04 | Tereza Valentova WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harriet Dart vs Sloane Stephens?
Our model gives 53% to Sloane Stephens, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.