Tennis · ATP Montreal · 01/08, 21:30
Prediction: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Keegan Rice
Team pages: Stefanos Tsitsipas · Keegan Rice
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Keegan Rice
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Stefanos Tsitsipas
6-4 (W-L)
Keegan Rice
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1544 · Keegan Rice 1533
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | Keegan Rice | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Keegan Rice makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | Keegan Rice | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.4 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.6-14.1 | 11.8-12.2 |
| Aces | 7.8 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 78.1% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 26.6% | 59% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Alex De Minaur ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Jerome Kym ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/07 | Ignacio Buse ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Hugo Gaston Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Ignacio Buse ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Matteo Arnaldi French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
Keegan Rice
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Mark Lajal Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexander Rozin Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Jay Friend M25 Laval |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Keegan Rice?
Our model gives 71% to Stefanos Tsitsipas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.